Sunday, 4 October 2015

The Big Question: Is change good or bad?

The Big Answer: There isn’t one. There are many.


Every situation involving an ecological change is unique; a single generalized answer is hence inadequate. The characteristics- the variables- of the situation must be considered before determining the answer. These variables can be broadly classified into space, time, magnitude and nature of the organism.
For the sake of clarity, a few definitions first: Ecological changes are shifts from the current eco-system in terms of abiotic or biotic elements. Abiotic changes are changes that occur in the environment, such as climatic changes, increase in soil fertility or increased acidification of the sea. Biotic changes are variations in the living organisms in an eco-system. They can be further divided into changes in individual organisms, such as genetic mutations; changes in populations, such as alteration in species distribution; and changes in interactions between organisms, such as predator-prey dynamics.
Now to the real business: Variables.
A change may be good or bad depending on the place we see it occurring in. The migration of a species into a new environment benefits its ecological diversity; however, due to the very migration the ecological balance in its original habitat might be upended. Conversely, the introduction of a new species may be detrimental to the abiotic and biotic factors in the eco-system. Zebra mussels, for example, were brought to the Great Lake region through ballast tanks of ships coming from Western Europe. Owing to high reproductive rates and lack of predators, the mollusks quickly established a substantial presence in the ecosystem. They (literally) ate into food supplies of other organisms and propagated algal blooms as their water filtering habits improved water clarity. They also attached themselves to insides of water supply pipes thus clogging them (NOAA). The presence of Zebra mussels was evidently disadvantageous to the new habitat. However, as they did not cause new competition or disrupt the norm in their old habitat, they were not damaging there. This is how the Space variable comes to fore.

It was pretty much an open-and-shut case. The Change was accused of being adverse and all evidences were against it. But someone overturned the verdict. Cue: Time variable. A change might be deemed bad at one point in time, but not quite so at another. The Chicxulub asteroid impact that occurred at the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary, roughly 65.5 million years ago, is widely believed to have wiped out several species of plants and animals, most notably the dinosaurs (Science, 2010). It was undoubtedly a bad change for the entire biosphere. Correction: It was undoubtedly a bad change for the entire biosphere then. This very asteroid that led to the mass extinction of dinosaurs, allowed the mammals to flourish. They gradually occupied the ecological niches previously occupied by the dinosaurs and spread to nearly every corner of the globe (Bascom, 2010). They eventually evolved into the species we know today, including Homo sapiens. Therefore you and I would not exist had it not been for the asteroid. I bet that change doesn’t look so bad now?

When it comes to change: Size matters. The magnitude of a change could become a deciding factor in answering the Big Question. For example, planktonic algae presence in a pond is a good change- it increases food production for fish thereby increasing the number of pounds of fish. But every silver lining has a cloud; if nutrient levels increase exponentially, the algae will explode and cover the whole pond in green scum. This could lead to low water clarity and fatally low oxygen levels in the early morning (Lynch, 2006).  
Changes almost always affect more than one organism. Thus it matters from which organism’s perspective we are looking at the change for it might benefit one organism but damage another. Look at the sequoias of California that survive wildfires while other plants do not. Interestingly enough, they not only brave the life-threatening flames but also profit from it. The fire forces the sequoias to let go of its cones en bloc leading to massive dispersal. The other plants (lacking the two feet thick, fire resistant bark of the sequoia) char away and the sequoias have their competition removed. As an added bonus, the ash from the fire serves as a useful fertilizer for the newly shed cones. So while the fire is a terrible change for most of the eco-system, it is of huge reproductive advantage to these big trees. (Howard, 2015)

As we are talking variables, here is the X-factor. Thus the last variable that helps us answer that million-dollar question is (drum roll please) - the reaction of the organism to the change. Imagine a culture of E. coli bacteria, thriving in their little test tube world. Suddenly, the absent-minded scientist accidentally spills some penicillin into the test tube putting the entire culture under the threat of a wipe-out! But just as all prospects seemed bleak, a mutated bacterium with a penicillin-resistant gene comes to the rescue. It multiplies and creates generations of penicillin-resistant bacteria thus saving the culture from total annihilation. Despite the dramatics, this is a wonderful example of how organisms’ can convert a potentially lethal change into a beneficial one. After all, the culture as a whole became stronger and survived (and lived happily ever after).

These variables are important characters in a larger story such as evolution. The formation of chlorophyll changed the reducing atmosphere of primitive earth to an oxidizing one. The change was bad then as it stopped the abiogenesis of life but good now as the primitive autotrophs that evolved due to that change led to the formation of life as it is today (Blankenship, 2002). Sometime then mutation struck primitive earthlings, mainly asexually-reproducing unicellular organisms. They found out that beneficial variations increased survival. To increase the frequency or magnitude of these mutations, they came up with sexual reproduction.
Fast-forward to speciation. Prehistoric short-necked giraffes encountered change in the form of depleting food resources. The slightly longer-necked giraffes managed to survive by eating leaves on higher branches while its short-necked kin died out due to competition for lower leaves (Latter, 2006). This change was bad for some organisms- the short necks- but the population as a whole survived by evolving into a longer-necked species. Evolved behavior is another chapter in this story. Winter temperature changes create adverse living conditions for birds. But they make it a good change by developing a migratory behavior where they fly to the Tropics, a space where the change is good (Winger, Barker, Ree, 2014).
So the Big Question can be answered after considering all variables. However, our work is not done.

There is a Bigger Question: What do we do once we find our answer?

The Bigger (and simpler) Answer: We react.
Thus, the reaction to the change is the perhaps the most important variable of the change because it can direct a change to being good, even if it is potentially bad. Evolution is the biggest evidence of this. It has taken many changes for the species of today to reach where they are. Some of the changes have been bad, some even fatal, yet certain organisms survive and through them, their populations. This kind of thinking is important for our species to understand for we face an era of colossal changes ahead of us, such as climate change and population changes, which have the potential to be a ‘Bad change’. However, it is our reaction to these changes that will decide whether that will be so or not.


References:

1.     Zebra Mussels: The Invasion of Zebra Mussels; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; http://www.noaa.gov/features/earthobs_0508/zebra.html

2.     Dinosaurs: The Chicxulub Asteroid Impact and Mass Extinction at the Cretaceous-Paleogene Boundary; Science; Schulte et al; http://www.sciencemag.org/content/327/5970/1214.short;

3.     Probing Question: Why did mammals survive the 'K/T extinction'?; Penn State News;  Nick Bascom; January 19, 2010; http://news.psu.edu/story/141227/2010/01/19/research/probing-question-why-did-mammals-survive-kt-extinction

4.      Planktonic Algae: Benefits and Disadvantages of Aquatic Plants in Ponds; Ohio State University Extension Fact sheet; William E. Lynch Jr; April 17, 2006; http://ohioline.osu.edu/a-fact/0017.html


5.     Sequoias: Sequoias and Historic Stump in Path of California Wildfire; National Geographic;  Brian Clark Howard; September 14, 2015; http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2015/09/150914-california-rough-fire-sequoias-chicago-stump-wildfires/

6.     Primitive Autotrophs: Early Evolution of Photosynthesis; Plant Physiology; Robert E. Blankenship; October 2010; http://www.plantphysiol.org/content/154/2/434.full

7.     The Evolution of Sexual reproduction:  http://www.evolutionary-philosophy.net/sex.html

8.     Giraffes: Evolution: Winning by a neck - Giraffes avoid competition; Evolution Research- General Evolution News; John Latter; December 22, 2006; http://evomech1.blogspot.com/2006/12/evolution-winning-by-neck-giraffes.html